You can wager whether the stars of the Super Bowl are going to Disneyland or Disney World, and there are bets to place on which car company runs its ad first, which celebrity is shown the most on television, and how many performers get on stage at halftime.
But first and foremost, this is a football game, and you can still place a bet on who wins, who loses, and who covers the point spread.
Point Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
During the 2024 regular season, the Kansas City Chiefs were the winningest team in the NFL. When it came to covering the point spread, they were not even close.
The Chiefs had winning streaks straight up of nine games and six games. But in the middle of all of that winning was a seven-game losing streak against the spread. They were 6-1 straight up during that stretch, but they failed to cover against bad teams like the Las Vegas Raiders (twice) and the Carolina Panthers.
There isn’t much margin for error here, so if the Chiefs don’t cover as 1.5-point favorites on Sunday, they probably won’t win.
The Philadelphia Eagles were much better against the spread than the Chiefs were in the 2024 regular season. Only once did they fail to cover in two-straight weeks, and that was early in the year. After the first week of November, the Eagles covered in all but two games, and Jalen Hurts didn’t play in one of them.
The Eagles were underdogs in three games this season, and they won all three of those games straight up.
Moneyline: KC (-120), PHI (+100)
The Chiefs M.O. has been to win games by any means necessary. A blocked field goal on the game’s final play, a fumble by the other quarterback in the closing seconds — it doesn’t matter to the Chiefs, as long as they win. And they do win a lot.
A simple win/loss bet on Kansas City is paying -120, which stands in stark contrast to the +500 you got for betting on them to win the Super Bowl six months ago.
As the underdog, the Eagles are paying even money to win outright, which is a pretty good number, considering they only lost one more game than the Chiefs. Many pundits consider their roster to be the best in the league, and they did just annihilate the Washington Commanders in the NFC Championship Game, 55-23. Kansas City, on the other hand, didn’t score more than 30 points in a game until the AFC Championship Game.
Over/Under: 48.5
The Chiefs have Patrick Mahomes and the Eagles have Saquon Barkley, and as we saw two years ago, these teams can play up-and-down fastbreak football. They destroyed the over of 51 points in Super Bowl LVII by 22 points.
That is unlikely to happen this time around. This game features the No. 2-ranked team in points allowed (Eagles) vs. the No. 4-ranked team in points allowed (Chiefs). The Eagles held opponents to less than 20 points in 11 games this season. The Chiefs held opponents to less than 20 points in 10 games this season.
It could be a great offensive game for the stars on both sides, but that is unlikely. Last year, when the Chiefs beat the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl LVIII, a total of 47 points were scored, and that included overtime.
The over/under in this game is right where it should be.
With over 25 years of experience as a distinguished sports writer for renowned platforms such as Fox Sports and ESPN, Kyle Garlett is a sports betting specialist who has been at the forefront of documenting the global surge in sports betting and online gaming. Based in Denver, Colorado, Kyle hosts an NFL betting YouTube show and podcast. Kyle also has two sports books published by HarperCollins.
Kyle graduated the Azusa Pacific University in 1996 with a B.A. Degree in Communication and Journalism.
