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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026. Polymarket lists 19 possible outcomes. The market is scheduled to end on 2027-01-01.

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Current Probability

Harry Kane

54%

Market-implied probability

  • 24 hours up 4 pts

Source

Single source

Key facts

Ends
December 31, 2026
Volume
40M

Probability History

Outcomes Market-implied probability

  1. Harry Kane 54% 24 hours: up 4 pts
  2. Lamine Yamal 40% 24 hours: down 5 pts
  3. Lionel Messi 3% 24 hours: no change
  4. Kylian Mbappé 2% 24 hours: no change
  5. Rodri 1% 24 hours: no change
See all 19
  1. Michael Olise <1% 24 hours: no change
  2. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia <1% 24 hours: no change
  3. Ousmane Dembélé <1% 24 hours: no change
  4. Erling Haaland <1% 24 hours: no change
  5. Fabian Ruiz <1% 24 hours: no change
  6. Jude Bellingham <1% 24 hours: no change
  7. Vinícius Júnior <1% 24 hours: no change
  8. Declan Rice <1% 24 hours: no change
  9. Vitinha <1% 24 hours: no change
  10. Achraf Hakimi <1% 24 hours: no change
  11. Bruno Fernandes <1% 24 hours: no change
  12. Luis Diaz <1% 24 hours: no change
  13. Lautaro Martinez <1% 24 hours: no change
  14. Pau Cubarsi <1% 24 hours: no change

Each option is priced on its own, so these may not add up to 100%.

How It Resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Resolution source: Polymarket

Expected resolution: December 31, 2026