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Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion

Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion. Where the market stands, how it has moved and how this market resolves.

Buffalo Bills 25% Market-implied probability up 6 pts

Share

Market Split

25%
  • Buffalo Bills25%
  • Kansas City Chiefs18%
  • All others57%

Each option is priced on its own, so shares are scaled to add up to 100%.

The Market in Brief

Buffalo Bills leads at 25%, followed by Kansas City Chiefs at 18% and Baltimore Ravens at 14%. 16 outcomes are listed in total. The market has 3.9M in volume. It is expected to resolve on March 31, 2027.

Current Probability

Buffalo Bills

25%

Market-implied probability

  • 24 hours up 6 pts
  • 7 days up 7 pts

Source

Single source

Key facts

Ends
March 31, 2027 165 days left
Volume
3.9M

Probability History

Outcomes Market-implied probability

  1. Buffalo Bills 25% 24 hours: up 6 pts
  2. Kansas City Chiefs 18% 24 hours: no change
  3. Baltimore Ravens 14% 24 hours: down 1 pts
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars 9% 24 hours: down 4 pts
  5. New England Patriots 8% 24 hours: up 1 pts
See all 16
  1. Cincinnati Bengals 7% 24 hours: no change
  2. Denver Broncos 7% 24 hours: no change
  3. Houston Texans 6% 24 hours: up 2 pts
  4. Las Vegas Raiders 2% 24 hours: no change
  5. Pittsburgh Steelers 2% 24 hours: no change
  6. Indianapolis Colts 1% 24 hours: no change
  7. Cleveland Browns <1% 24 hours: no change
  8. Los Angeles Chargers <1% 24 hours: no change
  9. New York Jets <1% 24 hours: no change
  10. Miami Dolphins <1% 24 hours: no change
  11. Tennessee Titans <1% 24 hours: no change

Each option is priced on its own, so these may not add up to 100%.

How It Resolves

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC championship game.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2027 NFL AFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source: Polymarket

Expected resolution: March 31, 2027