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MLS Cup Winner 2026

MLS Cup Winner 2026. Where the market stands, how it has moved and how this market resolves.

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 21% Market-implied probability down 1 pts

Share

Market Split

20%
  • Vancouver Whitecaps FC20%
  • Nashville SC20%
  • All others60%

Each option is priced on its own, so shares are scaled to add up to 100%.

The Market in Brief

Vancouver Whitecaps FC leads at 21%, followed by Nashville SC at 21% and Inter Miami CF at 15%. 30 outcomes are listed in total. The market has 21.9M in volume. It is expected to resolve on December 31, 2026.

Current Probability

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

21%

Market-implied probability

  • 24 hours down 1 pts

Source

Single source

Key facts

Ends
December 31, 2026 84 days left
Volume
21.9M

Probability History

Outcomes Market-implied probability

  1. Vancouver Whitecaps FC 21% 24 hours: down 1 pts
  2. Nashville SC 21% 24 hours: up 4 pts
  3. Inter Miami CF 15% 24 hours: down 1 pts
  4. Los Angeles FC 7% 24 hours: no change
  5. St. Louis City SC 6% 24 hours: no change
See all 30
  1. FC Dallas 5% 24 hours: no change
  2. Chicago Fire FC 5% 24 hours: no change
  3. Philadelphia Union 5% 24 hours: no change
  4. Houston Dynamo FC 4% 24 hours: no change
  5. New England Revolution 4% 24 hours: no change
  6. Charlotte FC 3% 24 hours: no change
  7. San Jose Earthquakes 3% 24 hours: no change
  8. Seattle Sounders FC 2% 24 hours: no change
  9. Orlando City SC 1% 24 hours: no change
  10. Colorado Rapids <1% 24 hours: no change
  11. FC Cincinnati <1% 24 hours: no change
  12. LA Galaxy <1% 24 hours: no change
  13. New York Red Bulls <1% 24 hours: no change
  14. Columbus Crew <1% 24 hours: no change
  15. New York City FC <1% 24 hours: no change
  16. D.C. United <1% 24 hours: no change
  17. Portland Timbers <1% 24 hours: no change
  18. San Diego FC <1% 24 hours: no change
  19. Real Salt Lake <1% 24 hours: no change
  20. Atlanta United FC <1% 24 hours: no change
  21. Austin FC <1% 24 hours: no change
  22. Minnesota United FC <1% 24 hours: no change
  23. CF Montréal <1% 24 hours: no change
  24. Sporting Kansas City <1% 24 hours: no change
  25. Toronto FC <1% 24 hours: no change

Each option is priced on its own, so these may not add up to 100%.

How It Resolves

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source: Polymarket

Expected resolution: December 31, 2026